Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans
Current line : Tennessee -3
Odds analysis :
Week twelve in the NFL sees a Jags defense that has been struggling of late to find it’s identity. In the past two games Jacksonville has given up 480 rushing yards and now they face a renewed Titans team lead by Ryan Tannehill and the leagues fifth ranked running back, Derrick Henry. Henry looked like a steam roller last week vs. the Chiefs racking up 188 yards and two TD’s while averaging 8.2 yards per attempt. On the road this year, the Jags defense has been nonexistent allowing an average of 155 rushing yards and 24 points per game. Since Tannehill took over at QB the Titans are 3-1 and are averaging 26 points per game. I look for the titans to continue that trend sunday as they look try to secure a playoff spot. Coming off a bye and having two full weeks to prepare should help that cause.
Notable Trends : The Jaguars are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Tennessee.
The Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The home team is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
Conclusion :
The Titans should win this game comfortably against the lowly Jags. I expect them to pound the rock early and often, play solid defense, and control the pace of the game. While i like the Titans to win and cover i’m not averse to buying the hook as with all spreads of 3 points. If you can find the Titans -2.5 without having to buy the half point consider yourself fortunate.All that being said, my final prediction is Titans win 24-10
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