The college football slate for this weekend is PACKED with action. With so many good games to choose from it was difficult to narrow this down to my six favorite but after deliberate consideration I came up with something to take us all to the window and break the bookie. Here’s what we’re playing gents :
Oklahoma st. – 5.5 over West Virginia
I honestly think the book maker was drunk when he made this line. This one is plain and simple, Chuba Hubbard, the nations leading rusher (and coolest name to say out loud) runs all over a crap ass West Virginia defense that is giving up 167 ypg on average. Head to head Oklahoma St. is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 and 3-0 the last three games. Simply put, The Cowboys own them no matter where this game is played. Don’t hesitate on this on gents – lets get paid !
Minnesota -14 over the Northwestern
The Gophers sitting at 9-1 and believing they still have a chance to make the CFP this season. Ed by coach P.J. Fleck they’ve amassed huge totals on the offensive side of the ball this season averaging just under 36 ppg. Meanwhile the Wildcats’ season is in the shitter and besides their defense, they haven’t had much to show for this year. Sure Tanner Morgan is in the concussion protocol and is questionable tomorrow but honestly, who gives a shit. Northwestern is hot trash. Not to mention that Minnesota is 6-3-1 ATS this year while Northwestern has only covered 2 games all season. Minnesota wins comfortably 37-10
Georgia Southern/Arkansas St. OVER 54
GASO averages 256 rush ypg this season, the Arkansas St. defense gives up 217 on average. Georgia Southern is also averaging 28 ppg this season – the same average the Red Wolves are giving up. On top of that The Red Wolves love to air the ball out…exactly what the Eagles have trouble defending. With an over of 54 i look for this one to easily fly over the total – maybe by halftime. Mash the over on this mf’er and lets move on to the next pick…
Appalachian St. -29 over Texas St.
This one seems like a no brainer. Last week I watched the Bobcats get anally destroyed by a Troy team that isn’t even what they’ve been in years past. Meanwhile App St has been causing some hemorrhages of their own dropping 52+ points 4 times this season. Look for the 22 ranked Mountaineers to have their way with the Bobcats much like that did last year when they went into San Marcus and roasted them 38-7. I’ve made money all year fading the Bobcats (1-8-1 ATS) and i look for that trend to continue here as well. Bet the house on this one boys.
Tulane + 7.5 (buy 1.5 pts -140) over UCF
The three times UCF has slipped up this year it has been on the road. Two of those games were in conference as is this one. The last 3 H2H meetings Tulane is 2-1 ATS winning one of those games SU. Tulane comes into this game being undefeated at home this season having suffered all 4 of their losses on the road. All that being said, I did buy the extra point and a half just to have mercy on the bookie. This could actually be a decent ML play on Tulane if you’ve got the nuts.
Troy / UL Lafayette OVER 72.5
With one of the biggest totals on the board Saturday, don’t be afraid to pound this over. James at the water cooler may be scared of this high number, but I’m not. There’s a reason it’s this high. Both teams come into this game averaging 38+ ppg this season and while the Ragin’ Cajuns can play a little D, the Trojans cannot. I look for Troy to push this thing over the hump in garbage time (which could likely be the entire second half) as ULL will likely hang 50+ on them. In fact, this game has gone over 5 of the last 6 times they played in Lafayette. Play this game over and you’ll be a better man for it.
How I’m playing these picks :
With these 6 gifts from the Almighty himself I’m gonna go ahead straight bet them all and also round robin them into 4 and 5 leg parlays (yea, i know, parlays are for amateur gamblers still living at home with Ma) and also play the 6 leg parlay. So boys, don’t be pussies, bet the kids tuition on this shit and lets all go buy some fucking yellow Lambos.