Treehouse Sports

Tuesday night MACtion – Lets get it !

The Western Michigan Broncos come into tonight’s game with one simple goal in mind : pound NIU and head the MAC championship vs Miami. Right now The Broncos are riding high on a 3 game win streak averaging just over 40 ppg in that time span. The Huskies on the other hand come into this game with nothing to play for and giving up that same 40 ppg over the last 3. To make matters worse their top rusher, Tre Harbison, just today announced his intention to transfer and will not be suiting up. Couple that with the fact that quarterback Ross Bowers probably won’t play either and we have the makings of a boat race. The weather will be nasty with 14 mph winds and 100% chance of rain which only increases NIU’s chances of putting the ball on the ground. The line opened at Broncos -8.5 but has quickly moved to 10.5 and will likely see 11 or 12 before game time as both the sharps and the public hammer Western Michigan. Don’t be scared on that number though boys – bet your entire goddamn bankroll on this bitch and LETS GET IT ! Final score : Broncos blowout 45-13

How I’m betting this game : I’ll be playing the Broncos -10.5 and also -6.5 first half. Good luck gentlemen !

I’m the Hottest Bettor Alive

If you tailed my last 5 picks, congratulations, you’re fucking rich. I can see into the future which is why I’m telling you to take Indiana +10 against Michigan today.

Michigan’s playing decent right now, but it’ll be hard for them to hold the 7-3 Hoosiers at home by more than 10. Indiana showed signs of incredible defense against Penn State and their offense wasn’t looking too bad either. I think we’ll be seeing a low(ish) scoring game tonight and it will be very entertaining to watch. As long as the Hoosiers can prevent Michigan to get comfortable on offense, we’ll be making money. Simple.

BOL. You’re an idiot if you don’t tail. Happy Saturday.

Super Saturday – F U Pay me !!

The college football slate for this weekend is PACKED with action. With so many good games to choose from it was difficult to narrow this down to my six favorite but after deliberate consideration I came up with something to take us all to the window and break the bookie. Here’s what we’re playing gents :

Oklahoma st. – 5.5 over West Virginia

I honestly think the book maker was drunk when he made this line. This one is plain and simple, Chuba Hubbard, the nations leading rusher (and coolest name to say out loud) runs all over a crap ass West Virginia defense that is giving up 167 ypg on average. Head to head Oklahoma St. is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 and 3-0 the last three games. Simply put, The Cowboys own them no matter where this game is played. Don’t hesitate on this on gents – lets get paid !

Minnesota -14 over the Northwestern

The Gophers sitting at 9-1 and believing they still have a chance to make the CFP this season. Ed by coach P.J. Fleck they’ve amassed huge totals on the offensive side of the ball this season averaging just under 36 ppg. Meanwhile the Wildcats’ season is in the shitter and besides their defense, they haven’t had much to show for this year. Sure Tanner Morgan is in the concussion protocol and is questionable tomorrow but honestly, who gives a shit. Northwestern is hot trash. Not to mention that Minnesota is 6-3-1 ATS this year while Northwestern has only covered 2 games all season. Minnesota wins comfortably 37-10

Georgia Southern/Arkansas St. OVER 54

GASO averages 256 rush ypg this season, the Arkansas St. defense gives up 217 on average. Georgia Southern is also averaging 28 ppg this season – the same average the Red Wolves are giving up. On top of that The Red Wolves love to air the ball out…exactly what the Eagles have trouble defending. With an over of 54 i look for this one to easily fly over the total – maybe by halftime. Mash the over on this mf’er and lets move on to the next pick…

Appalachian St. -29 over Texas St.

This one seems like a no brainer. Last week I watched the Bobcats get anally destroyed by a Troy team that isn’t even what they’ve been in years past. Meanwhile App St has been causing some hemorrhages of their own dropping 52+ points 4 times this season. Look for the 22 ranked Mountaineers to have their way with the Bobcats much like that did last year when they went into San Marcus and roasted them 38-7. I’ve made money all year fading the Bobcats (1-8-1 ATS) and i look for that trend to continue here as well. Bet the house on this one boys.

Tulane + 7.5 (buy 1.5 pts -140) over UCF

The three times UCF has slipped up this year it has been on the road. Two of those games were in conference as is this one. The last 3 H2H meetings Tulane is 2-1 ATS winning one of those games SU. Tulane comes into this game being undefeated at home this season having suffered all 4 of their losses on the road. All that being said, I did buy the extra point and a half just to have mercy on the bookie. This could actually be a decent ML play on Tulane if you’ve got the nuts.

Troy / UL Lafayette OVER 72.5

With one of the biggest totals on the board Saturday, don’t be afraid to pound this over. James at the water cooler may be scared of this high number, but I’m not. There’s a reason it’s this high. Both teams come into this game averaging 38+ ppg this season and while the Ragin’ Cajuns can play a little D, the Trojans cannot. I look for Troy to push this thing over the hump in garbage time (which could likely be the entire second half) as ULL will likely hang 50+ on them. In fact, this game has gone over 5 of the last 6 times they played in Lafayette. Play this game over and you’ll be a better man for it.

How I’m playing these picks :

With these 6 gifts from the Almighty himself I’m gonna go ahead straight bet them all and also round robin them into 4 and 5 leg parlays (yea, i know, parlays are for amateur gamblers still living at home with Ma) and also play the 6 leg parlay. So boys, don’t be pussies, bet the kids tuition on this shit and lets all go buy some fucking yellow Lambos.

Crowd Cheers

Mayhem in Maryland

This Saturday we’re taking a look ahead to what looks to be an all out offensive battle between the smoking hot Mustangs and the triple option attack of the Midshipmen. After Navy shit the bed last week against a stifling Notre Dame defense that forced four turnovers, they look to right the ship (get it?) against an SMU team that doesn’t even know what the word defense is, literally. The Mustangs are giving up an average of 32 ppg this season and have allowed 48 and 51 in the last two games respectively. Then you have Navy who, while they do understand the term defense, are going to have a tough time playing it against an SMU offense that is averaging 45 ppg this season. I like the fact that this is a tight spread allowing for an opportunity at OT as well. What i really like is that the over is 9-0-1 for SMU this season and 6-3 for Navy. Also, in the last 4 head to head meetings the game has gone over all 4 times. I’m looking for Navy to extend their H2H winning streak over SMU in a close game with a shit ton of touchdowns. If not this doesn’t hit I’ll cut my weenie off and throw it in the river. Final Score : Navy wins 43-37

Good luck to all and mostly to my manhood.

11/22 NBA Picks

Congratulations to everyone who tailed Colts +3 1H last night, it’s too bad that they couldn’t pull through in the fourth quarter. Picks tonight to follow:

Lakers v. Thunder – Lakers ML (-180)

LeBron and Anthony Davis have been playing very well recently. Lakers are on a 5 game winning streak and have the best record in the league, leaving them no problem against the 5-9 thunder with courteous odds at -180. The boys from LA are shooting an impressive 47% from the field and 34% from three. With the Thunder trying to secure their second win in 6 games, the Lakers shouldn’t have a problem holding them off tonight.

Hornets v. Wizards – O120 1H (-110)

Both teams have been having a hard time playing any defense at all. Washington gives up the most PPG to their opponents and both teams are in the bottom 3 rankings for opponent FG %. Wizards over their last 3 have scored 63.7 but has given up an average of 65.7 to their opponents. Poor defense from both teams should lead to a fast-paced game. Reason to not take the full game and only the first half is due to Charlotte being the worst team in the league in 2nd half scoring.

Heat v. Bulls – Heat -4.5 (-110)

Miami has a super deep roster. Off the bench they have Dragic, Herro, and Olynyk who will easily outperform Chicago’s bench. Heat are looking for their 5th consecutive win and have won 10 of their first 13 games, so the Bulls shouldn’t be interfering with that. Miami is shooting 48% from the field and 39% from 3. Tyler Herro is a walking bucked with 23 points in his last game, with Jimmy Butler adding 21. They play well on defense, holding the cavs to less than 100 points.

Lock of The Week: (cbb) ILLINOIS STATE +13.5 (-110)

Illinois State plays Cincinnati tonight in the first round of the Paradise Jam tournament. Both teams are coming into this game 2-1. I think Cincinnati will come away with the win, but it’s not gonna be a blowout. ISU has a decent shooting team, while Cincinnati has a decent defense. I believe it will be low scoring, and am looking forward to watching this one.

BOL if tailing, the degeneracy continues.

College Football Playoff Nightmare

College Football Playoff Nightmare Scenario

With the college football season drawing near a close (I know, it feels like it just started), and the playoff committee releasing their official standings; the subject around college football lies solely on the top four teams in the country. With most teams only having a game or two left (and conference championships), I feel like this is a good time to break down the CFP Committee’s top 10 teams and break down what can go wrong to have the absolute most chaos going into bowl season.

LSU 10-0

Games Remaining:vs. Arkansas, vs. Texas A&M, potential SEC Championship Game

The Tigers have been a sensational team this year, seemingly conquering all of their demons of the past. Finally slaying the dragon and beating an Alabama team in Tuscaloosa is no small feat, but for years they’ve been a great defense with a seemingly anemic offense. That all changed when Joe Burrow took a leap from college journeyman to future Heisman winner. He’s led this team all season with his arm and it’s tough to see this team slipping up with the way they’ve been playing. However, this isn’t supposed to be about who will win, we’re here to talk chaos, baby!

Joe Burrow could get hurt, and the LSU team could get on the wrong bus to their own stadium, they could probably pull 22 guys out of the stands that would be able to get them past Arkansas. Even with the stakes being set, I can’t take them to lose there. However, the final game of the season with the pressure of the SEC Title game on the line in a situation where they could probably lose and still be in the CFP, the Tigers choke and lose at home to Kellen Mond and Texas A&M. This would send them to the SEC title game with an 11-1 record.

Season Result: To be continued

Housekeeping: Arkansas 2-10, Texas A&M 9-3

Ohio State 10-0

Games Remaining: vs. Penn State, @Michigan, potential Big 10 Championship Game

There was a lot of skepticism coming into the year about the Buckeyes on the back of Urban Meyer’s departure. But, Ryan Day has led one of the most dominant Ohio State teams in recent memory whom many have regarded as the best team in the nation not named LSU for most of the season. Yet, they own possibly the hardest last two games of any team in the country, let alone in the Top 10.

For our nightmare scenario here, I’m going to have James Franklin lead Penn State to a victory in the Horseshoe this weekend, and the Buckeyes then taking their frustrations out Michigan (or the School Up North for those Buckeye fans), to finish the season with the same record as Coach O’s Tigers at 11-1.

Season Result: To be continued

Housekeeping: Penn State (coming below), Michigan 9-3

Clemson 11-0

Games Remaining: @ South Carolina, ACC Championship Game

I know this is just for fun and almost none of these “predictions” (again, this isn’t what I think is going to happen, just what I think could be the most interesting), are going to come true. But even in this fantasyland I can’t trust any ACC team to beat Clemson. I really went back and forth with finding a way they lay an egg against their in state rivals, but I just can’t. South Carolina will give them a bit of a game, but Clemson prevails and proceeds to roll whichever poor team (Virginia, VT, and Pitt all can still win) makes their way through the ACC Coastal division.

Congratulations to Dabo Swinney and the Clemson Tigers on being the first lock of the Chaos Playoff.

Season Result: 13-0 (CFP 1 Seed)

Housekeeping: Doesn’t even apply here as none of the teams they’ll play have any chance to impact the playoff otherwise.

4. Georgia 9-1

Games Remaining: vs. Texas A&M, @Georgia Tech, potential SEC Champ. Game

So if you were paying close attention to my housekeeping section, you may have noticed that Texas A&M was 9-3. That wasn’t by mistake, that was because the crux of the chaos is Jimbo Fisher winning out and having his team beat both UGA and LSU to throw a wrench into this entire top 10! The Dawgs go on to beat Georgia Tech and finish the season at 10-2 and have the head to head tiebreaker over Florida to send them into the SEC Championship Game sponsored by Disappointment.

Season Result: to be continued

Housekeeping: A&M 9-3, GT 2-10, Florida 10-2 (lose H2H tiebreaker)

5. Alabama 9-1

Games Remaining: vs. Western Carolina, @Auburn, potential SEC Champ. Game

The Tide’s season took a potential bigger hit than their loss to LSU last week when Tua Tagovailoa went down with a just plain horrible injury. But, this is chaos, and Mac Jones is a more than capable backup. After only playing for a half against Western Carolina, the Bama starters are rested and take out their rivals in the Iron Bowl to finish the season with an 11-1 mark, but can’t quite get to the SEC title game due to their loss to LSU.

Season Result: to be continued

6 & 7: The PAC 12 Hopes and Dreams

Records: 9-1

Games Remaining: Oregon (@Arizona St., vs. Oregon State), Utah (@Arizona, vs. Colorado)

The power 5 conference deemed by many to not be power 5 quality all season is staring a potential showdown in the face for their championship game. And you know what? The Chaos Committee is going to give it to them. Oregon and Utah both win out to finish at 11-1 and take each other on for the Pac 12 crown. I was going to summarize what happens in the championship games and how everything plays out after going through the top 10, but I just can’t resist. Utah is the far less “name brand” program of the two since Oregon has been in the playoff before, has the flashy uniforms, and has established themselves pretty well in the past 15 or so years. They also have the more legitimate loss in a game they probably should have won against a good Auburn team early in the season. Therefore, Utah is winning the PAC 12 title, and therefore also punching a ticket into the college football playoff!

Congratulations to Kyle Whittingham and the Utes!

Season Results: Oregon 11-2, Utah 12-1 (PLAYOFF BOUND)

8 & 9: The B1G’s Nightmare

Records: 9-1

Games Remaining: Minnesota (@Northwestern, vs. Wisconsin), Penn State (@Ohio State, vs. Rutgers)

It’s going out of order, but since I touched on Penn State earlier it’s easiest to give their summary. These two teams met just a few weeks back with Minnesota securing one of their biggest wins in program history, knocking off then Number 4 Penn State in the Gopher’s Den (no idea if they refer to their home field as that, but they’re missing a big time opportunity if they don’t). Anyhow, Penn State knocks off Ohio State in Columbus, and returns to Happy Valley to lose to Rutgers.

Just seeing if anyone was still awake and or reading this.. Of course they don’t lose to Rutgers, Penn State finished 11-1 and owns the tiebreaker against the Buckeyes to punch their ticket to the B1G title game.

Minnesota beats Northwestern, and musters up the home field advantage and heart to take out the Badgers at home, also finishing 11-1 and setting up an epic rematch against Penn State! Guess what? The Gophers win again! PJ Fleck rows his boat all the way into the Chaos Playoff and, ladies and gentlemen we have our third team to punch their ticket.

Season Results: Penn State 11-2, Minnesota 12-1 (PLAYOFF BOUND)

10: Oklahoma (and the life of the Big 12) 9-1

Games Remaining: vs. TCU, @Oklahoma State

The Sooners are basically the Big 12’s last and only hope of getting a team into the Chaos Playoff, and honestly, I stared at this one for a little while. On one hand, having the one loss Sooners win out, would put them in a huge hodge-podge for our final playoff spot. But, on the other hand, it’s tough to imagine a one-loss conference champion not getting in. My next thought was that they win out and then lose in the Big 12 Title game.. That brings in a separate issue that Baylor would then be a one loss Power 5 Conference Champion, who avenged their only loss (assuming they win out, which my brain can’t process more potential teams, so they do). That would give Baylor the inside track of actually sneaking in the Chaos Playoff, but the Committee doesn’t like their resume. So I say all of that to say:

OU handles their business and beats TCU, but loses the Bedlam game to finish at 10-2 before beating Baylor in the Big 12 Title game that acts as a pseudo-Fiesta Bowl play in game.

Season Result: Lots of offense, little defense, Jalen Hurts can throw, 11-2, they beat Boise by 28 in their bowl game.

SO, we have gotten this far, what we know:

The playoff has three teams locked in!

Clemson
Utah
Minnesota

What we’re now left with is 10-2 Georgia taking on 11-1 LSU in the SEC title game. Of course Georgia is going to win this one. Both teams move to 11-2 while Ohio State and Alabama have been sitting on their couches watching the madness unfold, finishing their seasons with only one loss apiece, but not even partaking in their respective championship games. Penn State, Oregon, Oklahoma, and Baylor are all 2 loss teams and by this logic eliminated from the Chaos Playoff. The committee couldn’t possibly put in a 1-loss team that didn’t play in their championship game could it?

It’s insane, and I’ve written this (way longer than I ever intended) to be a joke, and while it is, it isn’t impossible that the real CFP Committee could face a dilemma of this sort. In my opinion, Ohio State would have to get the last spot, only due to the Tua injury and just passing the overall eye test more so than any other team.

Thanks for reading along, lets see if the madness unfolds!

Border War Preview: Colorado St. @ Wyoming

Game time: Friday, November 22, 9:30 ET

Location: War Memorial Stadium– Laramie, WY

Current Line: Wyoming -6.5 Total: 51.0

Series Wins: Wyoming 47-5-58 Colorado State

Preview: Friday night the Colorado State Rams will travel the 65 mile journey across the Colorado-Wyoming border to Laramie to take on the Cowboys in the Border War. This Mountain West showdown is being played for the seventy-third consecutive time, Wyoming has won the last three meetings between the two teams. This year’s game has the appearance of a classic game between the two rivals. Wyoming currently has a (6-4) record and sits in fourth place in the Mountain West Mountain Division, Colorado State sits right behind the Cowboys in fifth place in the division and sports a (4-6) record on the year. The Cowboys come into the game with the second best rushing attack in the Mountain West averaging 219.8 rushing yards per game. They will look to pound the rock early and often as Colorado State’s rushing defense ranks second to last in the Mountain West allowing an average of 206.7 rushing yards per game. Conversely, the Rams will look to air it out with their Mountain West third overall passing attack; the Rams average 315.7 yards a game through the air. This year the Cowboys have struggled against the pass allowing 282.1 yards a game which ranks eleventh in the Mountain West.

Analysis: Colorado State has put points on the board all year but has struggled to stop teams defensively. Meanwhile the Cowboys possess one of the fiercest home field advantages in the nation, that’s right, little old Laramie, Wyoming will bring it like they do every single week, there is a reason the Cowboys are undefeated at home and are outscoring opponents 165-77 on War Memorial Field. This game will prove as no exception because when the Rams come to town the whole state is a buzz. This is more than a football game for both these teams. This is for the Bronze Boot and bragging rights over the whole damn state. I think Wyoming rises to the occasion behind their workhorse of a running back, Xazavian Valladay, and the rowdy Cowboy fans. Expect Colorado States offense to struggle in this game against the Cowboys defense.

Prediction: Wyoming 31 Colorado State 20

Pick: Wyoming -6.5

Myles Garrett Reports That Mason Rudolph Called Him a Racial Slur Prior to Bashing Him in the Head

Myles Garrett is appealing his suspension today and his most compelling piece of evidence is that Rudolph threw a racial slur at him prior to bashing him in the head with a fucking helmet. Of course Rudolph immediately denied it, but WHO KNOWS. Reports say that big boy Mason is no longer associating with this situation and is locked in for them do get dicked by the Bengals on Sunday. We’re gonna believe that Myles Garrett initially apologised for his actions and is coming out 2 weeks later with some heavy allegations? Bullshit. If Mason was throwing around the n-word, we would’ve heard about it right after it happened. We’re also led to believe that his teammates supported him if he actually said this? Fuck Myles Garrett, have fun sitting at home watching your shitty team get their asses kicked the rest of the season. We’ll let Goodell do his incredible detective work and see how this plays out. I think if the allegations against Rudolph are true, we just need to put them both in a ring and see if Mason Rudolph will last 30 seconds toe to toe with Myles Garrett.

There’s not a Chance That the Colts Lose Tonight

The Colts v. Texans matchup tonight should be a no brainer for all bettors. In case you forgot about the shitshow that the Texans presented last week, here’s a reminder.

Granted, Lamar Jackson is a human cheat code, you can’t forget that the Texans defense showed no sign of human life last week. If the Colts can put up any sort of performance on offense tonight, the Texans will have a hard time defending it.

The Colts spread for the first half is at a generous +3, a MORTAL LOCK. I have this at 2.5 units and will also be putting my faith in Colts ML and the over 46.6 granted the sloppy defense on both ends (1U each). If you feel sketchy about the Colts winning outright, take the spread at +3.5.

The only scary thing about these picks are Marlon Mack, T.Y. Hilton, and Parris Campbell’s injuries this week. Let’s see Jacoby Brissett toss the ball all over the Texans defense tonight and win some money.

As long as this game doesn’t come down to a game winning field goal from Adam Vinatieri, or he doesn’t have a heart attack on the field, I think we have this one in the bag. The boys from Indiana are due for a win and I’m here to support them through it.

Best of luck if tailing, the degeneracy continues.

Thursday Night Degenerate Picks

Plans for Thursday Night: I am going to post up at a local Buffalo Wild Wing’s (no free ads), drink way to many IPA’s, gamble my whole rent and maybe hit on the bartender if I am feeling lucky.

The only thing that is going to help me survive the dreaded workday on Friday is waking up richer than I went to bed. I have been called “moneyline mac” and “money Mac” and if that doesn’t convince you to tail these picks I do not know what will. FUCK YOUR BANKROLL, FUCK YOUR UNITS, LET’S GET THIS MONEY!

CFB: Georgia Tech (-2.5) vs. NC State O/U: 46.5

YUCK!! This is an ugly Thursday night CFB game. They could have at least blessed us with some more MACtion. My heart wants to take NC State +2.5 (possibly parlayed with the under), but my head is telling me to stay away. With that being said I will be parlaying the under (46.5) and NC State +2.5 (I may buy a point). SCARED MONEY DON’T MAKE NO MONEY!!! GT is 0-5 ATS at home, NC state still has a shot at a bowl game so they should have a little extra motivation. Both offenses are fucking horrible, can’t score in the red zone and neither team has a legit play maker. Buy a point for the under and the spread and let it ride!

NFL: Houston Texans (-3.5) vs. Indianapolis Colts O/U: 45.5

My usual go-to bet in prime time games and especially TNF is taking the under. As they say in the biz this is a must-win for both teams. The Colts are coming in to the game a little banged up, TY Hilton and Eric Ebron both have not been ruled out yet though. The colts secondary is also very banged up which will create huge mismatches when the Texans start throwing the ball. Houston at home against a divisional opponent in a must win game…… I am going to have to go with the healthier team in this one. I expect the Texans to make it rain harder than hurricane Harvey did so I will be taking Texans -3.5 (might buy a point down to -2.5, depending what it is at prior to kickoff).

CBB: Duke (-19.5) vs. Cal —— Winthrop (-14) vs. Tenn Tech—— Toledo (+8) vs. Notre Dame —— Buffalo (+4) vs. UCONN

Alright let’s start with the Duke pick. I am going to be honest, I did not research this one too much but fuck it, it’s Duke! Coach K is basketball Jesus so I will follow him like one of his disciples. Fade or follow I don’t give a fuck, let’s get this money!!!

On to the Winthrop pick. As my guy Rico Bosco would say “some things are bigger than sports”. I happen to know a member of the Winthrop basketball team, and from what I am hearing an assistant coach has had a family death so the team will be rallying around him and winning it for the fallen family member ( RIP you dead ass bitch) regardless though this should be a cake walk and they will be covering by halftime. Winthrop is full of gritty, gym rats, first in last out kind of guys if you know what I mean…… that also usually includes players with high basketball IQ. So expect low turnovers, high pressure defense and that point guard #52 for Winthrop to put up a triple double. Fade or follow either way I will be waking up Friday up a shit ton of units.

As Gordon Gee once said “you just can’t trust those damn Catholics on a Thursday or a Friday” so I am riding on a Toledo Rocket here. After all today is a Thursday so do you really want to trust the fighting Irish to cover?

On to my next pick, Buffalo. With 75% of the public on UCONN. I decided I will be fading the public. The game is going to be close and may come down to the final play. But SCARED MONEY DONT MAKE NO MONEY. Take Buffalo +4

I don’t love the gambling slate Thursday night but only the true degenerates are in on the action regardless of the slate. I will have picks up for Saturday (CFB, CBB, Boxing), and Sunday. #moneylinemac #mysticmac FUCK YOUR BANKROLL MANAGEMENT.

Tonight’s picks:

NC state +3.5 and under 47.5 parlay (buy a point)

Texans -2.5 (buy a point)

Duke -19.5

Winthrop -14

Toledo +8

Buffalo +4